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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
42.58% ( -1.79) | 25.21% ( -0.08) | 32.2% ( 1.86) |
Both teams to score 56.02% ( 1.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.53% ( 1.06) | 47.47% ( -1.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.32% ( 0.97) | 69.68% ( -0.98) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.76% ( -0.38) | 22.24% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.33% ( -0.58) | 55.67% ( 0.58) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% ( 1.77) | 27.95% ( -1.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.42% ( 2.2) | 63.58% ( -2.2) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.53) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.58% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |