League One

League One | Gameweek 32

Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
1 - 3
Plymouth

Brannagan (44')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Butcher (19'), Earley (65'), Hardie (90+3')

Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Plymouth Argyle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
42.58% ( -1.79)	25.21% ( -0.08)	32.2% ( 1.86)

Both teams to score 56.02% (

1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.53% (

1.06)

47.47% (

-1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.32% (

0.97)

69.68% (

-0.98)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.76% (

-0.38)

22.24% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.33% (

-0.58)

55.67% (

0.58)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.05% (

1.77)

27.95% (

-1.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.42% (

2.2)

63.58% (

-2.2)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 42.58%

Plymouth Argyle 32.2%

Draw 25.21%

Oxford United	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.53) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.58%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.2%