League One Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Home Park
  • Sam Cosgrove 24' goal
  • Finn Azaz 70' goal
  • Ryan Hardie 90'+4' goal
  • goal Recco Hackett-Fairchild 79'

Plymouth Argyle vs Portsmouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
Sheff Weds 1 - 0 Plymouth
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Ryan Hardie

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last game
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
Portsmouth 1 - 1 Barnsley
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Colby Bishop

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result

Plymouth Argyle 55.19% (-0.15)
Draw 22.81% (+0.03)
Portsmouth 21.99% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.29% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.57% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 44.43% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 33.2% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 66.8% (-0.01)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 84.03% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 15.97% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 54.73% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 45.27% (+0.09)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5 65.8% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 34.2% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 29.1% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 70.9% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Plymouth Argyle 55.19%
Draw 22.81%
Portsmouth 21.99%
Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.02% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.03% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.62% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 55.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.75% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.81%
Portsmouth
0-1 @ 5.86% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.77% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.14% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.06% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 21.99%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 10
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Fratton Park
  • Josh Koroma 41' goal
  • Recco Hackett-Fairchild 90'+4' goal
  • goal Sean Raggett 74' (OG)
  • goal Niall Ennis 79'
League One Gameweek 25
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Steven Sessegnon 43' yellowcard
  • Ryan Hardie 65' goal
  • Michael Cooper 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mahlon Romeo 33'
  • yellowcard Louis Thompson 34'
League One Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lee Brown 6' goal
  • Sean Raggett 19' yellowcard
  • Ronan Curtis 24' yellowcard
  • Marcus Harness 32' yellowcard
  • Sean Raggett 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Conor Grant 4'
  • yellowcard Joe Edwards 32'
  • yellowcard Jordan Houghton 45'+1'
  • goal Ryan Hardie 48'
  • goal Ryan Hardie 80'
League One Gameweek 28
Feb 6, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Fratton Park
  • Andy Cannon 72' yellowcard
  • Tom Naylor 84' yellowcard
  • Ronan Curtis 86' goal
  • James Bolton 87' goal
  • goal Luke Jephcott 71'
  • goal Luke Jephcott 82'
League One Gameweek 12
Nov 16, 2020 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Home Park
  • Sean Raggett 11' goal
  • Jerome Opoku 71' yellowcard
  • Jerome Opoku 78' goal
  • Ben Reeves 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John Marquis 33'
  • goal John Marquis 63'
  • goal Tom Naylor 65'
  • yellowcard Andy Cannon 73'
  • yellowcard Tom Naylor 85'
League One Gameweek 32
Feb 9, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Home Park (Plymouth)
  • Graham Carey 70' goal
  • goal Ben Close 56'
  • yellowcard Gareth Evans 59'
  • yellowcard Nathan Thompson 73'
  • yellowcard Ronan Curtis 78'