League One

League One | Gameweek 31

Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
3 - 1
Portsmouth

Cosgrove (24'), Azaz (70'), Hardie (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hackett-Fairchild (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-0 Plymouth
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portsmouth

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Portsmouth
55.19% ( -0.14)	22.81% ( 0.03)	21.99% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 55.29% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.57% (

0.01)

44.43% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.2% (

0.01)

66.8% (

-0.01)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.03% (

-0.05)

15.97% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.73% (

-0.09)

45.27% (

0.08)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.8% (

0.11)

34.2% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.1% (

0.12)

70.9% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 55.19%

Portsmouth 21.99%

Draw 22.81%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 55.19%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.81%	0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 21.99%