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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
35.53% ( 0.18) | 26.22% ( 0.18) | 38.25% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 53.43% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.83% ( -0.74) | 51.17% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.98% ( -0.65) | 73.02% ( 0.66) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.32% ( -0.25) | 27.68% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.76% ( -0.32) | 63.24% ( 0.33) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.88% ( -0.53) | 26.12% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.82% ( -0.72) | 61.18% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.53% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.52% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 40 |
2 | Wrexham | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 40 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 39 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 35 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 31 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Barnsley | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 24 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Blackpool | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Stevenage | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 21 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 20 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 20 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Burton Albion | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |