League One Gameweek 26
Jan 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Abbey Stadium
  • Sam Smith 5' goal
  • goal Josh Coburn 21'
  • goal Scott Sinclair 29'

Cambridge United vs Bristol Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
Sheff Weds 5 - 0 Cambridge
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Sam Smith

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2023 3.00pm
Bristol Rovers 2 - 1 Cheltenham
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Aaron Collins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result

Cambridge United 35.53% (+0.18)
Draw 26.22% (+0.18)
Bristol Rovers 38.25% (-0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.43% (-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.83% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 51.17% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 26.98% (-0.66)
Under 3.5 73.02% (+0.66)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5 72.32% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 27.68% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 36.76% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 63.24% (+0.33)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 73.88% (-0.54)
Under 0.5 26.12% (+0.55)
Over 1.5 38.82% (-0.73)
Under 1.5 61.18% (+0.73)

Score analysis

Cambridge United 35.53%
Draw 26.21%
Bristol Rovers 38.25%
Cambridge United
1-0 @ 9.29% (+0.22)
2-1 @ 8.01% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.96% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.55% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 7.23% (+0.22)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
Bristol Rovers
0-1 @ 9.71% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 6.52% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.92% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.08)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 38.25%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Greg Taylor 17' goal
  • Josh Coburn 56' goal
  • goal Joe Ironside 35'
EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Billy Bodin 13' goal
  • Billy Bodin 42' goal
  • Ellis Harrison 61' goal
  • Liam Sercombe 70' goal
  • yellowcard Harrison Dunk 3'
  • goal Uche Ikpeazu 66'
League Two
Mar 25, 2016 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Billy Bodin 10' goal
  • Billy Bodin 18' goal
  • Matt Taylor 73' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Berry 46'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Spencer 50'
  • yellowcard Darnell Furlong 85'
League Two
Oct 30, 2015 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Barry Corr 33' goal
  • goal Ellis Harrison 66'
  • yellowcard James Clarke 80'
  • goal Matty Taylor 82'
League Two
Jan 8, 2005 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Junior Agogo 25' goal
  • Paul Trollope 87' yellowcard
  • goal Shane Tudor 26'
League Two
Oct 9, 2004 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Justin Walker 34' yellowcard
  • John Turner 46' goal
  • Abdelhalim El Kholti 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Thorpe 35'