League One

League One | Gameweek 26

Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
1 - 2
Bristol Rovers

Smith (5')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Coburn (21'), Sinclair (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Sheff Weds 5-0 Cambridge
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Cheltenham
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Cambridge United	Draw	Bristol Rovers
35.53% ( 0.18)	26.22% ( 0.18)	38.25% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 53.43% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.83% (

-0.74)

51.17% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.98% (

-0.65)

73.02% (

0.66)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

-0.25)

27.68% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.76% (

-0.32)

63.24% (

0.33)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.88% (

-0.53)

26.12% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.82% (

-0.72)

61.18% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Cambridge United 35.53%

Bristol Rovers 38.25%

Draw 26.21%

Cambridge United	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.53%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21%	0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.52% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.25%