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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 64.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 14.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Morecambe |
| 64.43% ( | 21.35% ( | 14.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.69% ( | 50.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.75% ( | 72.25% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.08% ( | 14.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.69% ( | 43.31% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.2% ( | 46.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.66% ( | 82.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 13.28% 2-0 @ 12.63% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 8.01% ( 3-1 @ 6.08% ( 4-0 @ 3.81% ( 4-1 @ 2.89% ( 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 64.42% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 2-2 @ 3.64% ( Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.35% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 1-2 @ 3.83% ( 0-2 @ 2.01% ( 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.18% Total : 14.22% |