Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 49.82%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.