While Bolton have been among the most consistent sides in League One this season, they seem to be missing the presence of a solid number nine, and they have not been quite as sharp away from home throughout the campaign.
Peterborough, on the other hand, seem to play their best at home and have shown plenty of patience and poise defensively since Ferguson rejoined them, plus they have a dependable striker in Clarke-Harris, who has been in sparkling form all season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
