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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 48.08% ( | 26.31% ( | 25.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.68% ( | 55.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.47% ( | 76.53% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.97% ( | 23.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.15% ( | 56.85% ( |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.04% ( | 36.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.25% ( | 73.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% 2-0 @ 9.18% ( 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 4-1 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 48.07% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 2-2 @ 4.55% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 1.77% Total : 25.62% |