League One

League One | Gameweek 30

Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Dempsey (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, January 28 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 11.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Cheltenham Town
70.15% ( 0.43)	18.6% ( -0.2)	11.26% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 45.26% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.44% (

0.32)

45.56% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.11% (

0.31)

67.89% (

-0.3)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.22% (

0.21)

11.78% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.03% (

0.45)

36.97% (

-0.44)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.31% (

-0.18)

48.7% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.26% (

-0.13)

83.74% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 70.14%

Cheltenham Town 11.26%

Draw 18.6%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Cheltenham Town
2-0 @ 13.12% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 12.26% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 70.14%	1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.64% Total : 18.6%	0-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.47% Total : 11.26%