League One Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Kyle Dempsey 80' goal

Bolton Wanderers vs Cheltenham Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Jan 28, 2023 12.30pm
Charlton 1 - 2 Bolton
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Dion Charles

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
Cheltenham 0 - 0 Port Vale
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Alfie May

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 11.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 70.15% (+0.43)
Draw 18.6% (-0.21)
Cheltenham Town 11.26% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.26% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.44% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 45.56% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 32.11% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 67.89% (-0.31)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 88.22% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 11.78% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 63.03% (+0.45)
Under 1.5 36.97% (-0.45)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 51.31% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 48.7% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 16.26% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 83.74% (+0.14)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 70.14%
Draw 18.6%
Cheltenham Town 11.26%
Bolton Wanderers
2-0 @ 13.12% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 12.26% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 9.36% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 6.73% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 5% (+0.10)
4-1 @ 3.6% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.42% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.14% (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.54% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.3% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 70.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.83% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 18.6%
Cheltenham Town
0-1 @ 4.13% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 3.18% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 1.49% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 11.26%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Ryan Broom 87' goal
League One Gameweek 45
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • George Lloyd 52' yellowcard
  • Elliott Bonds 72' yellowcard
  • Aaron Ramsey 89' goal
  • goal Kieran Sadlier 57'
  • goal Amadou Bakayoko 76'
League One Gameweek 20
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Xavier Amaechi 26' goal
  • George Thomason 30' yellowcard
  • Elias Kachunga 58' goal
  • goal Alfie May 14'
  • yellowcard Dan Crowley 45'+3'
  • goal Alfie May 45'+4'
League Two Gameweek 24
Jan 16, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Macron Stadium
  • Lloyd Isgrove 78' yellowcard
  • Eoin Doyle 86' goal
  • goal Alfie May 54'
League Two Gameweek 18
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Tom Sang 80' yellowcard
  • Charlie Raglan 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Delaney 90'+1'