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League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Bolton
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Dempsey (80')
Bradley (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Broom (31'), Williams (59'), Keena (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, January 28 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Cheltenham Town

Bolton have won their last three matches at home in all competitions, so we think they will claim all three points on Saturday against a Cheltenham side who are winless in their last five. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 11.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCheltenham Town
70.15% (0.426 0.43) 18.6% (-0.204 -0.2) 11.26% (-0.216 -0.22)
Both teams to score 45.26% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.44% (0.323 0.32)45.56% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.11% (0.307 0.31)67.89% (-0.301 -0.3)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22% (0.212 0.21)11.78% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.03% (0.447 0.45)36.97% (-0.441 -0.44)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.31% (-0.184 -0.18)48.7% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.26% (-0.133 -0.13)83.74% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 70.14%
    Cheltenham Town 11.26%
    Draw 18.6%
Bolton WanderersDrawCheltenham Town
2-0 @ 13.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 12.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.36% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 5% (0.095 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.6% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.14% (0.058 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.54% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 70.14%
1-1 @ 8.83% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 18.6%
0-1 @ 4.13% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 3.18% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 11.26%

How you voted: Bolton vs Cheltenham

Bolton Wanderers
100%
Draw
0.0%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Cheltenham
1-2
Bolton
Ramsey (89')
Lloyd (52'), Bonds (72')
Sadlier (57'), Bakayoko (76' pen.)
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Bolton
2-2
Cheltenham
Amaechi (26'), Kachunga (58')
Thomason (30')
May (14', 45+4')
Crowley (45+3')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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