League One Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium

Cheltenham Town vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
Plymouth 4 - 2 Cheltenham
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Alfie May

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Port Vale 1 - 2 Derby
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ellis Harrison

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Cheltenham Town 29.2% (+0.01)
Draw 24.95% (+0.01)
Port Vale 45.85% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.36% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.35% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 47.65% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 30.15% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 69.85% (+0.02)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 69.92% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 30.08% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 33.79% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 66.21% (+0.02)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 79.17% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 20.82% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 46.5% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 53.5% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Cheltenham Town 29.2%
Draw 24.94%
Port Vale 45.85%
Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 7.53% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.09%
2-0 @ 4.52% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 29.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.26% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.94%
Port Vale
0-1 @ 9.83% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.71% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.84% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 45.85%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Vale Park
  • Ademipo Odubeko 37' goal
  • Taylor Perry 40' goal
  • goal Dan N'Lundulu 24'
  • goal Charlie Brown 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 34
Mar 6, 2021 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Alfie May 14' goal
  • Scott Brown 18' goal
  • Liam Sercombe 75' goal
  • yellowcard Kurtis Guthrie 65'
  • yellowcard Adam Crookes 74'
  • goal Will Swan 83'
  • goal Alex Hurst 85'
League Two Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2020 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Leon Legge 52' goal
  • David Worrall 68' goal
  • goal Andrew Williams 48'
League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2020 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Charlie Raglan 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leon Legge 29'
League Two Gameweek 22
Dec 21, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ben Tozer 39' goal
  • Cristian Montano 89' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Addai 24'
  • yellowcard Jacob Greaves 33'
  • yellowcard Ben Tozer 88'
  • yellowcard Chris Clements 94'
FA Cup Gameweek 2
Nov 30, 2019 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Reuben Reid 3' goal
  • Sean Long 66' yellowcard
  • Rohan Ince 81' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Pope 60'
  • goal Tom Pope 63'
  • goal Tom Pope 68'