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Funso Ojo
56'
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David McGoldrick
87'
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Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
89'
Port Vale vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Derby County in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Derby County.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Port Vale Goals
Derby County Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.41)
3-1 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 29.29%
0-0 @ 8.96% ▼ (-0.71)
2-2 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.2%
1-2 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.34)
0-2 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.33)
1-3 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.37)
0-3 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.35)
2-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.20)
1-4 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.20)
0-4 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 43.5%