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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 82.79%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 4.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.47%) and 1-0 (11.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.74%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (2.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Morecambe |
82.79% ( 0.67) | 12.4% ( -0.46) | 4.81% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 35.19% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.35% ( 1.23) | 40.65% ( -1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.96% ( 1.25) | 63.03% ( -1.26) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.55% ( 0.42) | 7.45% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.2% ( 1.08) | 26.8% ( -1.08) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
38.03% ( 0.08) | 61.97% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.37% ( 0.04) | 91.62% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Morecambe |
2-0 @ 15.56% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.42) 4-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.11) 6-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.74% Total : 82.77% | 1-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 12.4% | 0-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.23% Total : 4.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |