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Championship header 2

League One

Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Morecambe
1 - 1
Forest Green

Stockton (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clarke (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Derby 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 Peterborough
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawForest Green Rovers
44.16% (-0.119 -0.12)25.07% (0.047000000000001 0.05)30.77% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.87% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6% (-0.176 -0.18)47.4% (0.175 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.39% (-0.163 -0.16)69.61% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52% (-0.129 -0.13)21.48% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.49% (-0.198 -0.2)54.51% (0.197 0.2)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)28.86% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28% (-0.052 -0.05)64.72% (0.050999999999988 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 44.16%
    Forest Green Rovers 30.77%
    Draw 25.06%
MorecambeDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 44.16%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.77%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Forest Green
1-2
Morecambe
Wickham (30')
O'Keeffe (27')
Phillips (44'), Rawson (90+3')
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Forest Green
2-2
Morecambe
Collins (10'), Matt (79')
Stokes (23'), Bernard (38')
Stockton (22'), Mendes Gomes (90+4')
O'Sullivan (38'), Gibson (45+4')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
1-2
Forest Green
Leitch-Smith (19')
Lavelle (21'), Hendrie (64'), Wildig (74'), Knight-Percival (87')
Young (79'), Matt (83')
Godwin-Malife (74'), Matt (87')
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Forest Green
P-P
Morecambe
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Morecambe
0-2
Forest Green

Alessandra (69')
Alessandra (90')
Aitchison (75'), Shephard (94')
Shephard (87')
rhs 2.0


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