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Championship header 2

League One

Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Morecambe
5 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Crowley (20'), Connolly (47' og.), Love (49'), Stockton (62'), Major (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Collins (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Ipswich 4-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Accrington 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawBristol Rovers
36.52% (0.209 0.21)26% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)37.48% (-0.189 -0.19)
Both teams to score 54.24% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.84% (0.102 0.1)50.16% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88% (0.087 0.09)72.12% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38% (0.167 0.17)26.62% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.15% (0.222 0.22)61.85% (-0.222 -0.22)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)26.08% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)61.13% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 36.52%
    Bristol Rovers 37.48%
    Draw 25.99%
MorecambeDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.52%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 9.33% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.48%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-2
Morecambe
Loft (29'), Thomas (80')
Thomas (90+1'), McCormick (90+5')
Weir (12'), Phillips (53')
Gibson (16')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Morecambe
Gaffney (68'), Bodin (78')
Brown (58')
Devitt (12' pen.)
Fleming (80')
Oct 3, 2015 3pm
Morecambe
3-4
Bristol Rovers
Miller (43'), Barkhuizen (60'), Mullin (87' pen.)
Fleming (96')
Mansell (28'), Bodin (47'), Taylor (58'), Harrison (80' pen.)
Nicholls (92')
Mar 29, 2014 3pm
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Morecambe
Mohamed (90')
Mohamed (90')

Sampson (81')
Dec 14, 2013 3pm
Morecambe
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Amond (57'), Redshaw (87')
Drummond (44'), Wright (49'), Hughes (60'), Redshaw (88')
O'Toole (30')
Harrold (46'), Clarke (66'), Parkes (89'), Lockyer (91')