League One Gameweek 28
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mazuma Stadium
  • Adam Major 51' goal

Morecambe vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
Morecambe 0 - 3 Peterborough
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Cole Stockton

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
Port Vale 1 - 0 Exeter
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ellis Harrison

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morecambe in this match.

Result

Morecambe 28.02% (-1.91)
Draw 25.07% (-0.23)
Port Vale 46.91% (+2.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.16% (-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.14% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 48.86% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 29.04% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 70.96% (+0.07)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 68.44% (-1.42)
Under 0.5 31.56% (+1.42)
Over 1.5 32.04% (-1.67)
Under 1.5 67.96% (+1.67)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 79.14% (+0.93)
Under 0.5 20.86% (-0.93)
Over 1.5 46.44% (+1.43)
Under 1.5 53.56% (-1.42)

Score analysis

Morecambe 28.02%
Draw 25.07%
Port Vale 46.91%
Morecambe
1-0 @ 7.59% (-0.29)
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.34)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.35)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.24)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 1.68% (-0.21)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 28.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 6.59% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.07%
Port Vale
0-1 @ 10.32% (+0.33)
1-2 @ 9.33% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 8.09% (+0.47)
1-3 @ 4.87% (+0.23)
0-3 @ 4.23% (+0.36)
2-3 @ 2.81% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.91% (+0.14)
0-4 @ 1.66% (+0.18)
2-4 @ 1.1% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 46.91%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vale Park
  • Gavin Massey 40' goal
League Two Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vale Park
  • Manny Oyeleke 14' yellowcard
  • Shaun Brisley 26' yellowcard
  • Nathan Smith 34' goal
  • Devante Rodney 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Lavelle 34'
League Two Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Globe Arena
  • Adam Phillips 76' goal
  • Liam Gibson 85' yellowcard
  • John O'Sullivan 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leon Legge 77'
League Two Gameweek 26
Jan 14, 2020 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Steven Old 6' goal
  • Cole Stockton 12' goal
  • Alex Kenyon 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leon Legge 28'
  • goal James Gibbons 71'
League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 5, 2019 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Luke Joyce 49' goal
  • Tom Pope 68' goal
  • Adam Crookes 73' yellowcard
  • Tom Pope 90' goal
  • goal John O'Sullivan 18'
  • redcard Jordan Cranston 32'
  • yellowcard Tom Brewitt 45'
  • yellowcard Lewis Alessandra 48'
  • yellowcard Sam Lavelle 76'
League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 16, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park (Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire)
  • Antony Kay 68' yellowcard
  • Luke Hannant 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Kenyon 31'
  • yellowcard Carlos Mendes Gomes 63'
  • yellowcard Jordan Cranston 72'
  • goal Aaron Collins 75'