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League One

Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Exeter City

Port Vale
1 - 0
Exeter

Forrester (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 1-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawExeter City
41.19% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)26.84% (0.010000000000002 0.01)31.97% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.66% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.65% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)54.35% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.27% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)75.73% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.01% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)25.99% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.99% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)61.01% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (0.0020000000000095 0)31.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.94% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 41.18%
    Exeter City 31.97%
    Draw 26.84%
Port ValeDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.18%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.97%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Exeter

Port Vale
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Exeter City
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Port Vale
2-3
Exeter
Politic (25'), Butterworth (87')
Brown (43', 66'), Collins (89')
Stansfield (8')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Exeter
4-0
Port Vale
Kite (24'), Brown (38' pen., 72'), Nombe (75')
Diabate (30'), Sweeney (35')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Port Vale

Stubbs (45+3')
Wilson (36')
Martin (43'), Wilson (45+1'), Stone (84')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Port Vale
0-0
Exeter

Diabate (26')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Port Vale
1-0
Exeter
Robinson (2')