League One

League One | Gameweek 22

Feb 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
1 - 1
Accrington

Worrall (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Presley (52' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Port Vale and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Port Vale 0-3 Wycombe
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Accrington 0-3 Lincoln
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Accrington Stanley
48.01% ( -2.4)	25.37% ( 0.27)	26.62% ( 2.14)

Both teams to score 52.15% (

1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.01% (

0.53)

50.99% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.15% (

0.47)

72.85% (

-0.47)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.75% (

-0.8)

21.25% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.83% (

-1.26)

54.16% (

1.26)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.23% (

2.09)

33.77% (

-2.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.57% (

2.21)

70.43% (

-2.21)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 48%

Accrington Stanley 26.62%

Draw 25.36%

Port Vale	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.52) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.63) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.44) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 48%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.43) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.32% Total : 26.62%