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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 22
Feb 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Accrington Stanley

Port Vale
1 - 1
Accrington

Worrall (57')
Ojo (30'), Smith (34'), A (63'), Benning (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Presley (52' pen.)
Fernandes (73'), McConville (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Port Vale and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-3 Wycombe
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-2 Accrington Stanley

Although Accrington have struggled in the league this season, they are currently unbeaten in five competitive games, and we think that they will be able to hold Port Vale to a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawAccrington Stanley
48.01% (-2.405 -2.4) 25.37% (0.268 0.27) 26.62% (2.137 2.14)
Both teams to score 52.15% (1.127 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.01% (0.533 0.53)50.99% (-0.533 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.15% (0.466 0.47)72.85% (-0.465 -0.47)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (-0.804 -0.8)21.25% (0.806 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.83% (-1.265 -1.26)54.16% (1.264 1.26)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.23% (2.089 2.09)33.77% (-2.088 -2.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.57% (2.206 2.21)70.43% (-2.205 -2.21)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 48%
    Accrington Stanley 26.62%
    Draw 25.36%
Port ValeDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 8.61% (-0.63 -0.63)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.444 -0.44)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.219 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 48%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.213 0.21)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.272 0.27)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.429 0.43)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.374 0.37)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.278 0.28)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.174 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.212 0.21)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 26.62%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Accrington

Port Vale
82.4%
Draw
8.8%
Accrington Stanley
8.8%
34
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Port Vale
5-1
Accrington
Wilson (30', 73', 79'), Cass (85'), Lloyd (90+3')
Gibbons (36'), Jones (83')
Hamilton (85')
Conneely (79')
Bishop (70')
Jan 20, 2018 3pm
Accrington
3-2
Port Vale
McConville (52', 72'), Kee (54')
Jackson (61'), Johnson (78')
Pope (3'), Tonge (41')
Kay (65'), Worrall (77')
Sep 26, 2017 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-2
Accrington
Worrall (22')
Kay (50')
Kee (36', 62')
Rawson (87')
Feb 2, 2013 3pm
Port Vale
3-0
Accrington
Purse (54'), Hughes (50', 66')
Duffy (68')

Liddle (49'), Winnard (72')
Bennett (5')
Aug 21, 2012 7.45pm
Accrington
2-0
Port Vale
Amond (43' pen.), Gray (90')
Nsiala (58'), Liddle (90')

Neal (43'), Duffy (46'), Morsy (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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