League One

League One | Gameweek 30

Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
0 - 3
Lincoln

FT(HT: 0-1)

House (24'), Roughan (55'), Bishop (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Leeds
Saturday, January 28 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lincoln City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Lincoln City
38.84% ( -0.09)	26.73% ( 0.04)	34.43% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 51.64% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.61% (

-0.14)

53.38% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.08% (

-0.11)

74.92% (

0.11)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.18% (

-0.12)

26.82% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.88% (

-0.15)

62.11% (

0.15)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.56% (

-0.03)

29.44% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.56% (

-0.04)

65.44% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 38.83%

Lincoln City 34.43%

Draw 26.72%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.83%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.43%