League One

League One | Gameweek 31

Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
1 - 0
Exeter

Winnall (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Fleetwood 2-3 Burton Albion
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Charlton
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Exeter City
42.8% ( -0.62)	24.79% ( 0.17)	32.42% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 57.56% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.49% (

-0.62)

45.51% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.16% (

-0.59)

67.84% (

0.59)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.7% (

-0.54)

21.31% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.75% (

-0.84)

54.25% (

0.85)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.14% (

-0.02)

26.86% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.83% (

-0.02)

62.17% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 42.8%

Exeter City 32.42%

Draw 24.78%

Burton Albion	Draw	Exeter City
2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.58% Total : 42.8%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.78%	1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.42%