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Championship header 2

League One

Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Charlton Athletic

Exeter
1 - 2
Charlton

Mitchell (31')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rak-Sakyi (8'), Taylor (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, January 28 at 12.30pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
46.72%25.09%28.2% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 54.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.18% (0.0010000000000048 0)48.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.08%70.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07%20.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)53.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.78%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 46.72%
    Charlton Athletic 28.2%
    Draw 25.08%
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-0 @ 4.19%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 46.72%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-2 @ 4.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 28.2%

How you voted: Exeter vs Charlton

Exeter City
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Charlton Athletic
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Charlton
4-2
Exeter
Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
O'Connell (90+5')
Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Holmes (54')
Reid (58'), Tillson (60')
Clarke (72'), Charles-Cook (79')
Charles-Cook (91')
Crofts (82')
Jan 28, 2012 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Charlton
Green (55')
Wiggins (90')
Sep 10, 2011 3pm
Charlton
2-0
Exeter
Stephens (81'), Wright-Phillips (43')

Noble (35')
Nardiello (19')
Feb 19, 2011 3pm
Charlton
1-3
Exeter
Wright-Phillips (86')
Wright-Phillips (45'), Elliot (83')
Harley (84' pen.), O'Flynn (77')
Tully (51')
rhs 2.0


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