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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 45.03% ( | 27.02% ( | 27.96% |
| Both teams to score 48.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.44% ( | 56.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.46% | 77.54% ( |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.98% ( | 25.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.31% ( | 59.69% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.32% ( | 35.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.55% | 72.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.36% ( 2-1 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 8.57% ( 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.34% Total : 45.02% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.93% ( 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.2% 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2% Total : 27.96% |