League One Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT

Exeter City vs Shrewsbury Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
Burton Albion 1 - 0 Exeter
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 3 - 2 Port Vale
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Luke Leahy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Exeter City 45.03% (-0.01)
Draw 27.02% (-0.01)
Shrewsbury Town 27.96%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.22%

Goals

Over 2.5 43.44% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 56.55% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 22.46%
Under 3.5 77.54% (-0.01)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 74.98% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25.02%
Over 1.5 40.31% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.69%

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5 64.32% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 35.68% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 27.55%
Under 1.5 72.45% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Exeter City 45.02%
Draw 27.01%
Shrewsbury Town 27.96%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 12.36% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 8.57% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08%
3-0 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 45.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.93% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.01%
Shrewsbury Town
0-1 @ 9.2%
1-2 @ 6.57%
0-2 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2%
Total : 27.96%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Matthew Pennington 22' goal
  • Tom Bayliss 34' goal
  • Chey Dunkley 90'+3' goal
  • goal Pierce Sweeney 17'
  • goal Jonathan Grounds 20'
League Two
Apr 11, 2015 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jean-Louis Akpa-Akpro 18' goal
  • James Collins 62' goal
  • Jermaine Grandison 71' yellowcard
  • Jean-Louis Akpa-Akpro 73' goal
  • Tyrone Barnett 92' goal
League Two
Nov 22, 2014 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Tom Nichols 46' goal
  • Matt Grimes 61' yellowcard
  • David Wheeler 75' goal
  • Graham Cummins 77' yellowcard
  • Tom Nichols 91' goal
  • David Wheeler 96' yellowcard
  • goal James Collins 13'
  • yellowcard Liam Lawrence 29'
  • goal James Collins 34'
  • yellowcard Jack Grimmer 65'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Knight-Percival 70'
  • yellowcard Connor Goldson 82'
League Two
Mar 3, 2009 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Grant Holt 10' yellowcard
  • Grant Holt 51' goal
  • Paul Murray 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matthew Gill 59'
  • goal Marcus Stewart 83'
League Two
Aug 16, 2008 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Paul Murray 30'
  • goal Paul Murray 71'