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Championship header 2

League One

Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Port Vale

Shrewsbury
3 - 2
Port Vale

Dunkley (27'), Leahy (33'), Phillips (43')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Politic (13'), Proctor (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Accrington
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawPort Vale
30.11% (0.0039999999999978 0)26.99% (0.0010000000000012 0)42.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.48% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.49% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)55.51% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.31% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)76.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)33.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)70.1% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)25.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)60.51% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 30.11%
    Port Vale 42.89%
    Draw 26.98%
Shrewsbury TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 9.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7%
2-0 @ 5.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.55%
3-0 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 30.11%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 11.67%
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.95%
1-3 @ 3.95% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 3.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 42.89%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Port Vale

Shrewsbury Town
72.7%
Draw
0.0%
Port Vale
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Shrewsbury
0-4
Port Vale
Politic (15', 56', 57'), Walker (74')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Port Vale
2-1
Shrewsbury
Harrison (9', 90+1')
Butterworth (47')
Saydee (19')
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
Port Vale
2-1
Shrewsbury
Amoo (63' pen.), Archer (75')
Kennedy (27' og.)
Love (69')
Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 16
Port Vale
1-1
Shrewsbury
 Port Vale win 4-3 on penalties
Pope (83')
Gibbons (51'), Rawlinson (60')
Sears (63')
Rowland (39')
Dec 5, 2017 7.45pm
Round Two
Port Vale
1-2
Shrewsbury
Montano (1')
Gunning (13')
Dodds (68'), Whalley (81')
Morris (13'), Sadler (41'), Morris (67'), Beckles (90')