Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.