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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Barnsley |
| 36.73% ( | 27.11% ( | 36.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.18% ( | 54.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.88% ( | 76.12% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% ( | 28.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.45% ( | 64.55% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.93% ( | 29.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.01% ( | 64.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% ( 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 2-0 @ 6.5% ( 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 4-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.73% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 2-2 @ 4.96% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 1-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.15% |