League One Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Vale Park
  • Nathan Smith 14' goal
  • goal Luca Connell 1'
  • goal Liam Kitching 21'
  • goal Adam Phillips 61'

Port Vale vs Barnsley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 3 - 2 Port Vale
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ellis Harrison

Barnsley

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
Barnsley 2 - 0 Cambridge
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Devante Cole

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result

Port Vale 36.73% (-0.61)
Draw 27.11% (-0.29)
Barnsley 36.15% (+0.89)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.56% (+0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.18% (+1.15)
Under 2.5 54.81% (-1.15)
Over 3.5 23.88% (+0.94)
Under 3.5 76.12% (-0.94)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 71.28% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 28.72% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 35.45% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 64.55% (-0.25)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5 70.93% (+1.11)
Under 0.5 29.07% (-1.12)
Over 1.5 35.01% (+1.36)
Under 1.5 64.98% (-1.36)

Score analysis

Port Vale 36.73%
Draw 27.1%
Barnsley 36.15%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.41% (-0.42)
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.5% (-0.23)
3-1 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.06% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 36.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.38)
2-2 @ 4.96% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.1%
Barnsley
0-1 @ 10.31% (-0.14)
1-2 @ 7.95% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 6.37% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 3.27% (+0.18)
0-3 @ 2.62% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.04% (+0.12)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-91.89)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 36.15%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Nov 23, 2022 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Vale Park
  • Dennis Politic 14' goal
  • David Worrall 27' goal
  • goal Tom Edwards 73'
League One Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Liam Kitching 43' goal
  • goal Ellis Harrison 83'
League One
Mar 28, 2016 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Carl Dickinson 8' yellowcard
  • goal Conor Hourihane 9'
  • yellowcard Ivan Toney 17'
  • yellowcard Aidan White 56'
  • yellowcard Conor Hourihane 68'
League One
Nov 14, 2015 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Conor Hourihane 34' yellowcard
  • Sam Winnall 77' goal
  • Marley Watkins 97' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael O'Connor 19'
  • goal Ajay Leitch-Smith 40'
  • goal Sam Foley 47'
  • yellowcard Jak Alnwick 85'
  • yellowcard Anthony Grant 97'
League One
Jan 31, 2015 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Chris Neale 45' goal
  • Ben Pearson 46' goal
  • Jean-Yves M'voto 67' yellowcard
  • George Waring 90' yellowcard
  • Josh Scowen 92' yellowcard
  • Ben Pearson 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael O'Connor 45'
  • yellowcard Carl Dickinson 45'
  • goal Colin Daniel 66'
League One
Sep 20, 2014 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Michael O'Connor 24' goal
  • Carl Dickinson 64' yellowcard
  • Mark Marshall 89' goal
  • goal Conor Hourihane 59'
  • yellowcard Conor Hourihane 61'
  • yellowcard Martin Cranie 73'