Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • goal Ashley Barnes 78'

Luton Town vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2023 7.45pm
Preston 1 - 1 Luton
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Carlton Morris

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2023 8.00pm
Burnley 1 - 1 Watford
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Nathan Tella

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result

Luton Town 37.06% (+0.10)
Draw 26.53% (+0.05)
Burnley 36.41% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.46% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.58% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 52.42% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 25.9% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 74.1% (+0.19)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.62% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 27.38% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 37.15% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 62.85% (+0.06)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 72.24% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 27.76% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 36.67% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 63.33% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Luton Town 37.06%
Draw 26.52%
Burnley 36.41%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 9.84% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 8.17% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.38% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.75% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 37.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.61% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.6% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 26.52%
Burnley
0-1 @ 9.74% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 36.41%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Turf Moor
  • Josh Brownhill 50' goal
  • Ashley Barnes 89' yellowcard
  • Connor Roberts 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Potts 5'
  • yellowcard Carlton Morris 66'
Championship
Mar 31, 2007 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship
Oct 31, 2006 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • yellowcard Steve Foster 22'
  • goal Andy Gray 31'
  • goal Andy Gray 36'
  • yellowcard Wade Elliott 51'
  • redcard Steve Foster 73'
Championship
Apr 30, 2006 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kyle Lafferty 78' goal
  • goal Rowan Vine 42'
  • yellowcard Ahmet Brkovic 67'
  • yellowcard Leon Barnett 90'
Championship
Nov 5, 2005 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Steve Howard 43' goal
  • Leon Barnett 54' yellowcard
  • Warren Feeney 60' goal
  • goal Ade Akinbiyi 15'
  • goal Ade Akinbiyi 31'
  • redcard Brian Jensen 39'
  • goal Ade Akinbiyi 54'