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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Luton Town |
| 30.97% ( | 27.8% ( | 41.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.77% ( | 58.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.13% ( | 78.87% ( |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.73% ( | 34.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.03% ( | 70.97% ( |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% ( | 27.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.65% ( | 63.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 2-1 @ 6.99% ( 2-0 @ 5.46% ( 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 3-2 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 30.97% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0-0 @ 9.52% ( 2-2 @ 4.48% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 12.19% ( 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0-2 @ 7.81% ( 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0-3 @ 3.34% ( 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 41.23% |