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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 11.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 70.12% ( | 18.45% ( | 11.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.55% ( | 44.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.18% ( | 66.82% |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.53% ( | 11.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.69% ( | 36.3% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.32% ( | 47.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17% ( | 82.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 2-0 @ 12.82% 1-0 @ 11.84% 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 3-0 @ 9.26% ( 3-1 @ 6.86% 4-0 @ 5.01% ( 4-1 @ 3.71% ( 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 5-0 @ 2.17% ( 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 4-2 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 70.12% | 1-1 @ 8.77% ( 0-0 @ 5.47% 2-2 @ 3.52% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 18.45% | 0-1 @ 4.05% ( 1-2 @ 3.25% ( 0-2 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 11.43% |