Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Nathan Tella 14' goal
  • Nathan Tella 47' goal
  • Lyle Foster 76' goal

Burnley vs Wigan Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
Blackpool 0 - 0 Burnley
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Nathan Tella

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2023 8.00pm
West Brom 1 - 0 Wigan
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Will Keane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 11.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result

Burnley 70.12% (-0.04)
Draw 18.45% (+0.02)
Wigan Athletic 11.43% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.32% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.55% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 44.45%
Over 3.5 33.18% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 66.82%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 88.53% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 11.47% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 63.69% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 36.3% (+0.02)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 52.32% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 47.68% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 17% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 82.99% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Burnley 70.12%
Draw 18.45%
Wigan Athletic 11.43%
Burnley
2-0 @ 12.82%
1-0 @ 11.84%
2-1 @ 9.5% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.26% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.86%
4-0 @ 5.01% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.71% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.17% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 70.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.77% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47%
2-2 @ 3.52% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 18.45%
Wigan Athletic
0-1 @ 4.05% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.25% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 11.43%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 6
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 2
FT The DW Stadium
  • Curtis Tilt 2' yellowcard
  • Will Keane 43' goal
  • goal Jay Rodriguez 17'
  • goal Josh Brownhill 27'
  • yellowcard Arijanet Muric 41'
  • goal Nathan Tella 51'
  • goal Josh Brownhill 86'
  • goal Samuel Bastien 88'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 27, 2019 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Anthony Pilkington 28' goal
  • Joe Gelhardt 67' goal
  • goal Jay Rodriguez 5'
  • goal Dwight McNeil 11'
Championship
Apr 21, 2014 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ashley Barnes 22' goal
  • Ashley Barnes 35' yellowcard
  • Michael Kightly 42' goal
  • Ben Mee 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marc Antoine Fortune 40'
  • yellowcard James Perch 45'
  • yellowcard Emmerson Boyce 60'
  • yellowcard Jack Collison 66'
Championship
Dec 29, 2013 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nick Powell 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Duff 24'
Premier League
Mar 20, 2010 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Titus Bramble 68' yellowcard
  • Hugo Rodallega 90' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin McDonald 76'
  • yellowcard Michael Duff 80'
  • yellowcard Tyrone Mears 89'
Premier League
Oct 24, 2009 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Steven Fletcher 4' goal
  • Clarke Carlisle 61' yellowcard
  • Graham Alexander 90' yellowcard
  • goal Hugo Rodallega 11'
  • goal Hugo Rodallega 51'
  • goal Emmerson Boyce 76'