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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Wigan logo

Burnley
3 - 0
Wigan

Tella (14', 47'), Foster (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Wigan
Tuesday, March 7 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 11.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawWigan Athletic
70.12% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)18.45% (0.010000000000002 0.01)11.43% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.32% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.55% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)44.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)66.82%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.53% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)11.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.69% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)36.3% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.32% (0.032000000000004 0.03)47.68% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17% (0.023 0.02)82.99% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 70.12%
    Wigan Athletic 11.43%
    Draw 18.45%
BurnleyDrawWigan Athletic
2-0 @ 12.82%
1-0 @ 11.84%
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 9.26% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.86%
4-0 @ 5.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.17% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 70.12%
1-1 @ 8.77% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.47%
2-2 @ 3.52% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 18.45%
0-1 @ 4.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 3.25% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 11.43%

How you voted: Burnley vs Wigan

Burnley
87.9%
Draw
3.0%
Wigan Athletic
9.1%
66
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Wigan
1-5
Burnley
Keane (43' pen.)
Tilt (2')
Rodriguez (17'), Brownhill (27', 86'), Tella (51'), Bastien (88')
Muric (41')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Wigan
2-2
Burnley
Pilkington (28'), Gelhardt (67')
Rodriguez (5'), McNeil (11')
Mar 20, 2010 3pm
Wigan
1-0
Burnley
Rodallega (90')
Bramble (68')

McDonald (76'), Duff (80'), Mears (89')