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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
Birmingham logo

Wigan
1 - 1
Birmingham

Fletcher (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bacuna (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Wigan Athletic and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 2-1 Wigan
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Luton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBirmingham City
38.06% (1.229 1.23)27.19% (-0.277 -0.28)34.75% (-0.951 -0.95)
Both teams to score 50.23% (0.787 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.81% (1.02 1.02)55.19% (-1.019 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (0.834 0.83)76.43% (-0.83199999999999 -0.83)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (1.224 1.22)28.11% (-1.222 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (1.526 1.53)63.79% (-1.523 -1.52)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)30.13% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.73% (-0.113 -0.11)66.27% (0.116 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 38.06%
    Birmingham City 34.75%
    Draw 27.18%
Wigan AthleticDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.212 0.21)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.194 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.202 0.2)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.099 0.1)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.06%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 10.16% (-0.43 -0.43)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.278 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 34.75%

How you voted: Wigan vs Birmingham

Wigan Athletic
46.2%
Draw
38.5%
Birmingham City
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
2-3
Wigan
Mrabti (39'), Maghoma (81')
Windass (9', 50'), Kipre (73')
Byrne (87')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Wigan
0-3
Birmingham

Burn (90')
Adams (26'), Morrison (45'), Maghoma (61')
Maghoma (64'), Gardner (77')
rhs 2.0


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