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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
Birmingham logo

Wigan
1 - 1
Birmingham

Fletcher (59')
Sinani (13'), McClean (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bacuna (4')
Bacuna (30'), Chang (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Wigan Athletic and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 2-1 Wigan
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Luton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-1 Birmingham City

Wigan showed glimpses of good play in their defeat at Preston last weekend, and they will certainly be targeting the visit of struggling Birmingham as a game to collect maximum points from as they bid to stay in the Championship. Blues have a host of injury doubts hovering over them ahead of a massively important afternoon in Wigan on Saturday, but given the full week to prepare, we believe that Eustace's should be able to earn a point in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBirmingham City
38.06% (1.229 1.23) 27.19% (-0.277 -0.28) 34.75% (-0.951 -0.95)
Both teams to score 50.23% (0.787 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.81% (1.02 1.02)55.19% (-1.019 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (0.834 0.83)76.43% (-0.83199999999999 -0.83)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (1.224 1.22)28.11% (-1.222 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (1.526 1.53)63.79% (-1.523 -1.52)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)30.13% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.73% (-0.113 -0.11)66.27% (0.116 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 38.06%
    Birmingham City 34.75%
    Draw 27.18%
Wigan AthleticDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.212 0.21)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.194 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.202 0.2)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.099 0.1)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.06%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 10.16% (-0.43 -0.43)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.278 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 34.75%

How you voted: Wigan vs Birmingham

Wigan Athletic
46.2%
Draw
38.5%
Birmingham City
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
2-3
Wigan
Mrabti (39'), Maghoma (81')
Windass (9', 50'), Kipre (73')
Byrne (87')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Wigan
0-3
Birmingham

Burn (90')
Adams (26'), Morrison (45'), Maghoma (61')
Maghoma (64'), Gardner (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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