Championship Gameweek 29
Norwich
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Carrow Road
Birmingham
  • Marcelino Nunez 27' goal
  • Marcelino Nunez 36' goal
  • Christos Tzolis 90'+4' goal
  • goal Maxime Colin 53'

Norwich City vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
Wigan 0 - 0 Norwich
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Joshua Sargent

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
Huddersfield 2 - 1 Birmingham
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Scott Hogan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result

Norwich City 56.44% ▼ (-3.06)
Draw 23.13% ▲ (+0.87)
Birmingham City 20.43% ▲ (+2.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

52% ▲ (+0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.31% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 2.5 47.69% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 3.5 30.11% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 3.5 69.89% ▲ (+0.54)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5 83.3% ▼ (-1.25)
Under 0.5 16.69% ▲ (+1.25)
Over 1.5 53.42% ▼ (-2.28)
Under 1.5 46.58% ▲ (+2.27)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 62.42% ▲ (+2.06)
Under 0.5 37.58% ▼ (-2.06)
Over 1.5 25.64% ▲ (+1.96)
Under 1.5 74.36% ▼ (-1.96)

Score analysis

Norwich City 56.44%
Draw 23.12%
Birmingham City 20.43%
Norwich City
1-0 @ 11.23% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 10.05% ▼ (-0.62)
2-1 @ 9.84% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6% ▼ (-0.65)
3-1 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.29)
3-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.42)
4-1 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.25)
4-2 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 56.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99% ▲ (+0.42)
0-0 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 23.12%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.48)
1-2 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.49)
0-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.39)
1-3 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.25)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 20.43%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 7
Birmingham
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Norwich
  • Scott Hogan 50' goal
  • goal Andrew Omobamidele 63'
  • goal Onel Hernandez 90'+3'
EFL Cup
Norwich
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
ET Carrow Road
Birmingham
  • Jordan Hugill 19' yellowcard
  • Danel Sinani 45'+1' goal
  • Jacob Sorensen 45'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Lukas Jutkiewicz 11'
  • goal Jonathan Leko 53'
  • yellowcard Maxime Colin 71'
  • goal Jonathan Tomkinson 79' (OG)
Championship Gameweek 32
Birmingham
Feb 23, 2021 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Norwich
  • Ivan Sanchez 39' goal
  • Scott Hogan 68' yellowcard
  • Jake Clarke-Salter 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christoph Zimmermann 19'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 26'
  • yellowcard Mario Vrancic 62'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 76'
  • goal Oliver Skipp 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 6
Norwich
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Carrow Road
Birmingham
  • Mario Vrancic 87' goal
  • Adam Idah 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Clayton 50'
  • yellowcard Harlee Dean 54'
  • redcard Adam Clayton 86'
  • yellowcard George Friend 88'
  • yellowcard Ivan Sunjic 90'
Championship Gameweek 28
Norwich
Jan 18, 2019 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Carrow Road (Norwich, Norfolk)
Birmingham
  • Teemu Pukki 13' goal
  • Mario Vrancic 22' goal
  • Tom Trybull 25' goal
  • goal Che Adams 14'
  • yellowcard Maikel Kieftenbeld 27'
  • yellowcard Kristian Pedersen 29'
  • yellowcard Craig Gardner 80'
  • yellowcard Michael Morrison 87'
Championship Gameweek 1
Birmingham
Aug 4, 2018 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)
Norwich
  • Jacques Maghoma 56' goal
  • Viv Solomon-Otabor 89' goal
  • goal Onel Hernandez 83'
  • yellowcard Onel Hernandez 84'
  • yellowcard Ben Marshall 86'
  • yellowcard Kenny McLean 86'
  • goal Onel Hernandez 90'

Form Data

Wigan 0 - 0 Norwich
Norwich 3 - 1 Hull City
Bristol City 1 - 0 Norwich
Norwich 0 - 3 Burnley
Coventry 2 - 4 Norwich
Preston 0 - 4 Norwich
Huddersfield 2 - 1 Birmingham
Birmingham 0 - 2 Cardiff
Birmingham 2 - 0 West Brom
Swansea 3 - 4 Birmingham
Birmingham 0 - 1 Blackburn
Blackburn 2 - 2 Birmingham