Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.