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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Birmingham
0 - 2
Cardiff

FT(HT: 0-0)
Ng (84'), Robinson (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45.31%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawCardiff City
45.31% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)27.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 46.82% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.85% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)58.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.19% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)78.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)25.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)60.48% (0.012 0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.93% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)37.07% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)73.85% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 45.31%
    Cardiff City 27.32%
    Draw 27.37%
Birmingham CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.81%
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 45.31%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 9.49% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 9.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 27.32%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Cardiff

Birmingham City
75.5%
Draw
16.0%
Cardiff City
8.5%
106
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Cardiff
1-0
Birmingham
Philogene-Bidace (17')
Ojo (90+1')

Hogan (51'), James (70'), Trusty (90'), Colin (90+6')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Cardiff
1-1
Birmingham
Vaulks (82' pen.)
McGuinness (48'), Drameh (57'), Nelson (67'), Vaulks (76')
Bela (22')
Gordon (58'), Etheridge (82')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
2-2
Cardiff
Deeney (29'), Sunjic (45+1')
Sunjic (63'), Friend (85')
Moore (66'), McGuinness (90+1')
Nelson (16'), Ralls (72')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-4
Cardiff

Dean (84')
Wilson (9', 40', 86'), Harris (68')
Pack (61')
Dec 16, 2020 7pm
Cardiff
3-2
Birmingham
Glatzel (10'), Wilson (78'), Morrison (89')
Bacuna (28'), Ojo (43')
Roberts (31'), Sanchez (57')
Toral (21'), Colin (53')