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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Cardiff
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Kaba (25')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Forss (17'), Archer (38'), McGree (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMiddlesbrough
34.71% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)26.76% (0.032 0.03)38.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.58% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.52% (-0.128 -0.13)53.48% (0.132 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25% (-0.11 -0.11)75% (0.113 0.11)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)29.31% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)65.27% (0.101 0.1)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)27.04% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)62.4% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 34.71%
    Middlesbrough 38.53%
    Draw 26.76%
Cardiff CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.97% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.71%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.92% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38.53%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Middlesbrough

Cardiff City
8.9%
Draw
11.1%
Middlesbrough
80.0%
45
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
2-3
Cardiff
Watmore (76'), Muniz (77')
McGree (81')
O'Dowda (4'), Harris (20'), Ng (45')
Apr 27, 2022 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
2-0
Cardiff
Tavernier (28'), McGree (53')
Jones (88'), Howson (90')

Nelson (27'), Wintle (33'), Denham (62'), Vaulks (90')
Oct 23, 2021 12.30pm
Cardiff
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pack (28'), McGuinness (34'), Flint (70')
Sporar (35' pen.), Payero (74')
Ikpeazu (38')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Oct 24, 2020 3pm