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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 34.71% ( | 26.76% ( | 38.53% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.52% ( | 53.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25% ( | 75% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( | 29.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.72% ( | 65.27% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% ( | 27.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.6% ( | 62.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 2-0 @ 5.97% ( 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 4-1 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.71% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0-0 @ 7.92% ( 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 10.36% ( 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0-2 @ 6.78% ( 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 38.53% |