Championship Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • goal Carlton Morris 47'

Birmingham City vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Norwich 3 - 1 Birmingham
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Scott Hogan

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
Luton 0 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Carlton Morris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result

Birmingham City 27.63% (-0.01)
Draw 28.35% (-0.01)
Luton Town 44.01% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.38% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.65% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 61.35% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 18.74% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 81.26% (-0.01)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 61.42% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 38.58% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 24.68% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 75.32% (-0.01)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.24% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 27.75% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 36.67% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 63.33% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 27.62%
Draw 28.34%
Luton Town 44.01%
Birmingham City
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.23% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.86% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.98% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.54%
3-2 @ 1.27% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 27.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 10.7% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.99% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.34%
Luton Town
0-1 @ 13.72%
0-2 @ 8.8% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.38% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.76% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.58% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 44.01%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • yellowcard Juninho Bacuna 35'
  • yellowcard Dion Sanderson 50'
  • yellowcard Ryan Woods 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Juninho Bacuna 25' goal
  • Lyle Taylor 46' goal
  • Onel Hernandez 69' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Osho 85'
Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Glen Rea 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marc Roberts 4'
  • goal Marc Roberts 7'
  • goal Scott Hogan 26'
  • goal Scott Hogan 47'
  • goal Gary Gardner 84'
  • goal Chuks Aneke 88'
Championship Gameweek 29
Feb 13, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Mikel San Jose 58' yellowcard
  • Rekeem Harper 62' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Potts 31'
  • yellowcard Daniel Potts 50'
Championship Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2020 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Matty Pearson 37' goal
  • Glen Rea 73' yellowcard
  • goal Lukas Jutkiewicz 23'
  • yellowcard Harlee Dean 48'
Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 11, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • James Bree 27' yellowcard
  • James Collins 62' goal
  • goal Lukas Jutkiewicz 4'
  • yellowcard Kerim Mrabti 36'
  • yellowcard Harlee Dean 41'
  • yellowcard Gary Gardner 60'
  • yellowcard David Davis 67'
  • goal Gary Gardner 69'
  • redcard Harlee Dean 86'