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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Luton Town

Birmingham
0 - 1
Luton


Roberts (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morris (47')
Doughty (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Luton Town

Birmingham were beginning to get their small squad back to full fitness before injuries in key areas hit the camp in recent matches, and the XI on the pitch have failed to impress over the past week. Luton will be targeting a trip to a half-empty St Andrew's as a chance to get back to winning ways, and we believe that they will do just that on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLuton Town
27.63% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 28.35% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 44.01% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.38% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.65% (0.017000000000003 0.02)61.35% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.74% (0.010999999999999 0.01)81.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.58% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.68% (0.004999999999999 0)75.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (0.013000000000005 0.01)27.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.67% (0.015999999999998 0.02)63.33% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 27.62%
    Luton Town 44.01%
    Draw 28.34%
Birmingham CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.54%
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 27.62%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 10.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 13.72%
0-2 @ 8.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 3.76% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 44.01%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Luton

Birmingham City
27.2%
Draw
24.7%
Luton Town
48.1%
81
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Luton
0-5
Birmingham

Rea (34')
Roberts (7'), Hogan (26', 47'), Gardner (84'), Aneke (88')
Roberts (4')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Luton
1-1
Birmingham
Pearson (37')
Rea (73')
Jutkiewicz (23' pen.)
Dean (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Ipswich TownIpswich452712690573393
3Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4517131569571264
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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