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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Luton Town

Birmingham
0 - 1
Luton


Roberts (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morris (47')
Doughty (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Luton Town

Birmingham were beginning to get their small squad back to full fitness before injuries in key areas hit the camp in recent matches, and the XI on the pitch have failed to impress over the past week. Luton will be targeting a trip to a half-empty St Andrew's as a chance to get back to winning ways, and we believe that they will do just that on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLuton Town
27.63% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 28.35% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 44.01% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.38% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.65% (0.017000000000003 0.02)61.35% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.74% (0.010999999999999 0.01)81.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.58% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.68% (0.004999999999999 0)75.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (0.013000000000005 0.01)27.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.67% (0.015999999999998 0.02)63.33% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 27.62%
    Luton Town 44.01%
    Draw 28.34%
Birmingham CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.54%
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 27.62%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 10.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 13.72%
0-2 @ 8.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 3.76% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 44.01%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Luton

Birmingham City
27.2%
Draw
24.7%
Luton Town
48.1%
81
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Luton
0-5
Birmingham

Rea (34')
Roberts (7'), Hogan (26', 47'), Gardner (84'), Aneke (88')
Roberts (4')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Luton
1-1
Birmingham
Pearson (37')
Rea (73')
Jutkiewicz (23' pen.)
Dean (48')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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