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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 27.63% ( | 28.35% ( | 44.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.65% ( | 61.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.74% ( | 81.26% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.42% ( | 38.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.68% ( | 75.32% ( |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.24% ( | 27.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.67% ( | 63.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 2-1 @ 6.23% ( 2-0 @ 4.86% ( 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 3-0 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 1.56% Total : 27.62% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.7% ( 2-2 @ 3.99% ( Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.34% | 0-1 @ 13.72% 0-2 @ 8.8% ( 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 1-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 1.72% Total : 44.01% |