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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
41.06% ( 0.57) | 26.79% ( -0.03) | 32.14% ( -0.53) |
Both teams to score 50.87% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.89% ( -0.01) | 54.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.47% ( -0) | 75.53% ( 0) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.05% ( 0.3) | 25.95% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.04% ( 0.4) | 60.95% ( -0.4) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.69% ( -0.37) | 31.3% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.34% ( -0.43) | 67.66% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.05% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 42 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 41 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Bristol City | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 21 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
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