Champions League
Mar 15, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Karim Benzema 78' goal

Real Madrid vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 21, 2023 8.00pm
Liverpool 2 - 5 Real Madrid

Liverpool

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 21, 2023 8.00pm
Liverpool 2 - 5 Real Madrid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 47.64% (-0.01)
Draw 22.94% (+0.01)
Liverpool 29.41% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.47% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.64% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 38.35% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 39.36% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 60.63% (+0.01)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 83.56% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 16.43% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 53.88% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 46.11% (+0.01)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 74.76%
Under 0.5 25.23%
Over 1.5 40.01% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.98% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 47.64%
Draw 22.94%
Liverpool 29.41%
Real Madrid
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.86%
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.44%
Total : 47.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 6.41%
0-0 @ 4.15% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.94%
Liverpool
1-2 @ 7.1% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.71% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.93% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 1.81% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 29.41%

Head to Head

Champions League
Feb 21, 2023 8.00pm
2
5
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Darwin Nunez 4' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 14' goal
  • goal Vinicius Junior 21'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 36'
  • goal Eder Militao 47'
  • goal Karim Benzema 55'
  • goal Karim Benzema 67'
Champions League
May 28, 2022 8.36pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Auguste Delaune
  • Fabinho 62' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Junior 59'
Champions League
Apr 14, 2021 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Anfield
  • Andrew Robertson 25' yellowcard
  • Nat Phillips 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Casemiro 25'
Champions League
Apr 6, 2021 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano
  • Vinicius Junior 27' goal
  • Marco Asensio 36' goal
  • Lucas Vazquez 49' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 65' goal
  • yellowcard Sadio Mane 39'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 51'
  • yellowcard Thiago Alcantara 56'
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 83'
Champions League
May 26, 2018 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Olimpiyskiy National Sports Complex
  • Karim Benzema 51' goal
  • Gareth Bale 64' goal
  • Gareth Bale 83' goal
  • goal Sadio Mane 55'
  • yellowcard Sadio Mane 82'
Champions League
Nov 4, 2014 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Karim Benzema 27' goal
  • James Rodriguez 53' yellowcard
  • Sergio Ramos 60' yellowcard
  • Marcelo 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Skrtel 47'
  • yellowcard Alberto Moreno 84'

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