La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 11, 2023 at 1pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid
3 - 1
Espanyol

Junior (22'), Militao (39'), Asensio (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Joselu (8')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Betis 0-0 Real Madrid
Sunday, March 5 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Espanyol

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 2-1 Espanyol
Sunday, March 5 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 75.79%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 8.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.11%) and 3-0 (10.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Espanyol
75.79% ( -0.18)	15.69% ( 0.05)	8.52% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 44.47% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.3% (

0.23)

40.69% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.92% (

0.23)

63.08% (

-0.23)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.94% (

0.01)

9.05% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.2% (

0.03)

30.8% (

-0.04)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.9% (

0.46)

51.1% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.59% (

0.3)

85.4% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 75.78%

Espanyol 8.52%

Draw 15.69%

Real Madrid	Draw	Espanyol
2-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 75.78%	1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.6% Total : 15.69%	0-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.86% Total : 8.52%