Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.