La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 29, 2023 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio El Sadar
  • goal Saul Niguez 74'

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2023 3.15pm
Elche 1 - 1 Osasuna
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Ante Budimir

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2023 5.30pm
Atletico 3 - 0 Valladolid
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Antoine Griezmann

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result

Osasuna 23.35% (-0.56)
Draw 25.48% (-0.10)
Atletico Madrid 51.18% (+0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.72% (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.05% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 53.95% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 24.6% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 75.4% (+0.10)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5 61.75% (-0.57)
Under 0.5 38.24% (+0.58)
Over 1.5 25% (-0.56)
Under 1.5 75% (+0.56)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 78.9% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 21.1% (-0.23)
Over 1.5 46.07% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 53.93% (-0.36)

Score analysis

Osasuna 23.35%
Draw 25.47%
Atletico Madrid 51.17%
Osasuna
1-0 @ 7.76% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 5.8% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 3.73% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 1.86% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 8.07% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.47%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 12.55% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 9.77% (+0.18)
1-2 @ 9.39% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 5.07% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.87% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.97% (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.89% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 51.17%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 25
Feb 19, 2022 3.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ezequiel Avila 34' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Felix 3'
  • yellowcard Sime Vrsaljko 54'
  • goal Luis Suarez 59'
  • goal Angel Correa 89'
  • yellowcard Javi Serrano 90'
La Liga Gameweek 14
Nov 20, 2021 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Antoine Griezmann 45' yellowcard
  • Felipe 87' goal
  • Carlos Martin 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Torro 56'
  • yellowcard David Garcia 82'
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Renan Lodi 82' goal
  • Luis Suarez 88' goal
  • Luis Suarez 89' yellowcard
  • goal Ante Budimir 75'
  • yellowcard Ante Budimir 76'
  • yellowcard Darko Brasanac 84'
La Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 31, 2020 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sergio Herrera 42' yellowcard
  • Ante Budimir 80' goal
  • goal Joao Felix 43'
  • goal Joao Felix 69'
  • yellowcard Koke 72'
  • goal Lucas Torreira 88'
  • yellowcard Marcos Llorente 91'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Jun 17, 2020 9.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio El Sadar
  • Jose Arnaiz 58' yellowcard
  • Enric Gallego 73' yellowcard
  • Inigo Perez 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 6'
  • goal Joao Felix 27'
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Stefan Savic 45'+3'
  • goal Joao Felix 56'
  • goal Marcos Llorente 79'
  • goal Alvaro Morata 82'
  • goal Yannick Carrasco 88'
La Liga Gameweek 17
Dec 14, 2019 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano (Madrid)
  • Manuel Sanchez 26' yellowcard
  • Diego Simeone 57' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Morata 67' goal
  • Saul Niguez 75' goal
  • yellowcard Sergio Herrera 53'