La Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Atletico3 - 0Valladolid
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Levante 0-2 Atletico
Wednesday, January 18 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Wednesday, January 18 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valladolid 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in La Liga
We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Real Valladolid
Atletico are a difficult team to back at the moment with any real confidence, and they have found it difficult at home this season, but Real Valladolid's away record has been poor. As a result, we are backing Simeone's side to collect all three points in front of their own supporters, albeit by the narrowest of margins. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Valladolid |
57.3% ( 0.06) | 23.7% ( -0.01) | 19% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.01% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
