La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 18

Jan 21, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico
3 - 0
Valladolid

Morata (18'), Griezmann (23'), Hermoso (28')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Levante 0-2 Atletico
Wednesday, January 18 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Valladolid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valladolid 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Valladolid
57.3% ( 0.06)	23.7% ( -0.01)	19% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 48.01% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.16% (

-0)

51.84% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.4% (

-0)

73.6% (

0.01)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.11% (

0.02)

17.88% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.33% (

0.03)

48.67% (

-0.03)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.47% (

-0.05)

41.53% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.98% (

-0.04)

78.02% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 57.3%

Real Valladolid 19%

Draw 23.69%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 57.3%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.69%	0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 19%