Levante logo
Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Atletico Madrid logo

Levante
0 - 2
Atletico

FT(HT: 0-0)
Morata (54'), Llorente (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Levante and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Levante

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Levante 3-1 Granada
Saturday, January 14 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Almeria 1-1 Atletico
Sunday, January 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Levante had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Levante win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
LevanteDrawAtletico Madrid
29.24% (0.02 0.02)26.8% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)43.96% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.59% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)55.16% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.41% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Levante Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.06% (0.013999999999996 0.01)33.94% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.39% (0.015999999999998 0.02)70.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)24.93% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.44% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)59.56% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Levante 29.24%
    Atletico Madrid 43.95%
    Draw 26.8%
LevanteDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.14% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.94% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 29.24%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.46% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 11.75%
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.16% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.95%

How you voted: Levante vs Atletico

Levante
21.7%
Draw
8.4%
Atletico Madrid
69.9%
83
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2022 6pm
Atletico
0-1
Levante

De Paul (26'), Savic (85'), Correa (90+6')
Melero (54')
Pepelu (70'), Gomez (76'), Miramon (85'), Son (90+7')
Oct 28, 2021 8.30pm
Levante
2-2
Atletico
Bardhi (37' pen., 90' pen.)
Pepelu (40'), Pier (90+6'), Pier (90+8')
Griezmann (12'), Cunha (76')
Hermoso (18'), Felipe (25'), Simeone (53'), Koke (65'), Simeone (81'), Gimenez (85'), Correa (87')
Feb 20, 2021 3.15pm
Atletico
0-2
Levante

Koke (70'), Lemar (70')
Hermoso (30' og.), De Frutos (90+5')
Vezo (36'), Cardenas (69'), Pier (90+1')
Feb 17, 2021 6pm
Levante
1-1
Atletico
Bardhi (17')
de Frutos (45')
Llorente (37')
Niguez (26'), Savic (42'), Kondogbia (51')
Jun 23, 2020 6.30pm
Levante
0-1
Atletico
rhs 2.0


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