Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Levante had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Levante win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.