Athletic Bilbao logo
Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Espanyol logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Espanyol

de Marcos (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Athletic Bilbao and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, January 14 at 8pm in La Liga

Espanyol

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Getafe 1-2 Espanyol
Sunday, January 15 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawEspanyol
58.41% (-0.506 -0.51)23.92% (0.286 0.29)17.67% (0.222 0.22)
Both teams to score 45.15% (-0.38999999999999 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.54% (-0.74 -0.74)54.46% (0.744 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.18% (-0.621 -0.62)75.82% (0.624 0.62)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (-0.459 -0.46)18.44% (0.462 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.38% (-0.784 -0.78)49.62% (0.787 0.79)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.36% (-0.163 -0.16)44.64% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.36% (-0.132 -0.13)80.64% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 58.4%
    Espanyol 17.67%
    Draw 23.91%
Athletic BilbaoDrawEspanyol
1-0 @ 13.91% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.63% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.8% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 58.4%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.236 0.24)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 23.91%
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.161 0.16)
1-2 @ 4.53% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.68% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 17.67%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol

Athletic Bilbao
64.1%
Draw
25.0%
Espanyol
10.9%
64
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 3.15pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Espanyol
Braithwaite (83')
Cabrera (45+3')
Feb 7, 2022 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Espanyol
Sancet (5'), Martinez (16')
Vesga (62'), Petxarroman (87'), Martinez (90+3')
Vilhena (3')
Morlanes (15'), Lopez (70'), Gil (75')
Oct 26, 2021 8pm
Espanyol
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
De Tomas (33' pen.)
Herrera (73')
de Tomas (90+3')
Williams (52')
Berenguer (75'), Alvarez (90+4')
Jan 25, 2020 12pm
Espanyol
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
De Tomas (63')
Sanchez (17'), Roca (56'), Espinosa (59')
Villalibre (12')
Vesga (9')
Oct 30, 2019 7pm
Athletic Bilbao
3-0
Espanyol
Muniain (4', 17'), Victor (79' og.)

Espinosa (53')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!