La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 27, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almeria
3 - 1
Espanyol

Suarez Charris (21'), Baptistao (61'), Portillo (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Joselu (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 2-2 Almeria
Monday, January 23 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Espanyol

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Espanyol 1-0 Betis
Saturday, January 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Espanyol
37.76% ( 0.01)	27.87% ( -0)	34.37% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.09% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.16% (

0.01)

57.84% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.44% (

0.01)

78.56% (

-0.01)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.42% (

0.01)

29.58% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.39% (

0.01)

65.61% (

-0.01)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.29% (

-0)

31.71% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.87% (

-0)

68.13% (

Score Analysis

Almeria 37.76%

Espanyol 34.37%

Draw 27.87%

Almeria	Draw	Espanyol
1-0 @ 11.42% 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.76%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.38% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.87%	0-1 @ 10.77% 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.37%