Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 13.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.07%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 13.16% ( | 20.79% ( | 66.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.81% ( | 50.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.85% ( | 72.15% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.64% ( | 48.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.51% ( | 83.49% ( |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.63% ( | 14.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.74% ( | 42.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 5.05% ( 2-1 @ 3.56% ( 2-0 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 13.16% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 2-2 @ 3.45% ( Other @ 0.59% Total : 20.79% | 0-1 @ 13.48% ( 0-2 @ 13.07% ( 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0-3 @ 8.46% ( 1-3 @ 6.14% ( 0-4 @ 4.1% ( 1-4 @ 2.98% ( 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0-5 @ 1.59% ( 1-5 @ 1.16% ( 2-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 66.04% |