/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fathlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frmilog.png)
-
Karim Benzema
24'
-
Toni Kroos
90'
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F44%2Ftoni-kroos.jpeg)
The match
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F36%2Faurelien-tchouameni.JPG)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F03%2Fvilrma_2.JPG)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F41%2Frmabar.JPG)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F32%2Fdavid-alaba.JPG)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Real Madrid Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 7.4%
2-0 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 31.53%
0-0 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 26.06%
1-2 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.41%
1-3 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 42.39%
Head to Head
-
Dani Garcia
42'
-
Oscar de Marcos
67'
-
Yuri Berchiche
68'
-
Alex Berenguer
89'
-
Toni Kroos
24'
-
Luka Modric
59'
-
Marcelino
51'
-
Dani Garcia
77'
-
Yeray Alvarez
90'
-
Luka Modric
38'
-
Karim Benzema
52'
-
Eder Militao
87'
-
Oihan Sancet
10'
-
Unai Vencedor
43'
-
Dani Garcia
61'
-
Karim Benzema
4'
-
Karim Benzema
7'
-
Vinicius Junior
42'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
62'
-
Karim Benzema
40'
-
Luka Modric
68'
-
Casemiro
77'
-
Oier Zarraga
31'
-
Inigo Lekue
43'
-
Inaki Williams
77'
-
Alex Berenguer
14'
-
Raul Garcia
79'
-
Inigo Martinez
80'
-
Raul Garcia
89'
-
Marcelino
90'
-
Nacho
68'
-
Nacho
82'
-
Federico Valverde
90'+1'
-
Lucas Vazquez
37'
-
Karim Benzema
73'
-
Toni Kroos
83'
-
Raul Garcia
18'
-
Raul Garcia
38'
-
Ander Capa
57'
-
Dani Garcia
84'
-
Unai Simon
88'