La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 17

Feb 2, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Valencia

Asensio (52'), Junior (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 0-0 Real Sociedad
Sunday, January 29 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valladolid 1-0 Valencia
Sunday, January 29 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 14.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-2 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Valencia
66.84% ( -0.04)	18.93% ( 0)	14.23% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 53.18% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.25% (

0.07)

39.75% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.89% (

0.07)

62.11% (

-0.07)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.99% (

0.01)

11.01% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.7% (

0.02)

35.3% (

-0.02)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.76% (

0.09)

40.24% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.13% (

0.08)

76.87% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 66.83%

Valencia 14.23%

Draw 18.93%

Real Madrid	Draw	Valencia
2-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.93% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 4.17% Total : 66.83%	1-1 @ 8.9% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.93%	1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 14.23%