La Liga Gameweek 17
Feb 2, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Marco Asensio 52' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 54' goal

Real Madrid vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Jan 29, 2023 8.00pm
Real Madrid 0 - 0 Real Sociedad
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Karim Benzema

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 29, 2023 1.00pm
Valladolid 1 - 0 Valencia
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Samuel Lino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 14.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-2 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result

Real Madrid 66.84% (-0.04)
Draw 18.93% (+0.01)
Valencia 14.23% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.18% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.25% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 39.75% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 37.89% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 62.11% (-0.08)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 88.99% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 11.01% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 64.7% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 35.3% (-0.02)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 59.76% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 40.24% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 23.13% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 76.87% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 66.83%
Draw 18.93%
Valencia 14.23%
Real Madrid
2-0 @ 10.78% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.82% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.93% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.22% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.38% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.98% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.93% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 66.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.9% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 18.93%
Valencia
1-2 @ 4.05% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.03% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.84% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 14.23%

Head to Head

Supercopa de Espana
Jan 11, 2023 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET
  • Karim Benzema 39' goal
  • goal Samuel Lino 46'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 8, 2022 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Casemiro 14' yellowcard
  • Eder Militao 26' yellowcard
  • Karim Benzema 43' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 52' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 61' goal
  • Ferland Mendy 75' yellowcard
  • Karim Benzema 88' goal
  • yellowcard Cristiano Piccini 51'
  • yellowcard Yunus Musah 58'
  • goal Goncalo Guedes 76'
  • yellowcard Denis Cheryshev 84'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gabriel Paulista 39' yellowcard
  • Hugo Duro 66' goal
  • yellowcard Casemiro 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Nacho 56'
  • yellowcard Rodrygo 81'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 86'
  • goal Karim Benzema 88'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 14, 2021 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Karim Benzema 12' goal
  • Toni Kroos 42' goal
  • yellowcard Goncalo Guedes 27'
  • yellowcard Uros Racic 44'
  • yellowcard Thierry Correia 46'
La Liga Gameweek 9
Nov 8, 2020 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Carlos Soler 35' goal
  • Uros Racic 41' yellowcard
  • Carlos Soler 41' yellowcard
  • Raphael Varane 43' goal
  • Carlos Soler 54' goal
  • Carlos Soler 63' goal
  • Hugo Guillamon 84' yellowcard
  • Jaume Domenech 86' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 23'
  • yellowcard Marcelo 52'
  • yellowcard Sergio Ramos 62'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Jun 18, 2020 9.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Santiago Bernabeu
  • Karim Benzema 61' goal
  • Marco Asensio 74' goal
  • Karim Benzema 86' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Gaya 24'
  • yellowcard Hugo Sanmartin 84'
  • redcard Lee Kang-in 89'

Build-up

News