Copa del Rey
Jan 26, 2023 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Oscar de Marcos 43' goal
  • goal Iker Muniain 35'
  • goal Nico Williams 45'
  • goal Mikel Vesga 74'

Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result

Valencia 38.67% (+0.37)
Draw 26.05% (-0.39)
Athletic Bilbao 35.28% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.97% (+1.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.54% (+1.62)
Under 2.5 50.46% (-1.62)
Over 3.5 27.61% (+1.41)
Under 3.5 72.39% (-1.41)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 74.44% (+0.96)
Under 0.5 25.56% (-0.96)
Over 1.5 39.58% (+1.28)
Under 1.5 60.42% (-1.29)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 72.5% (+0.79)
Under 0.5 27.5% (-0.79)
Over 1.5 37% (+1.00)
Under 1.5 63% (-1.00)

Score analysis

Valencia 38.67%
Draw 26.04%
Athletic Bilbao 35.28%
Valencia
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.37)
2-1 @ 8.44% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 6.54% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.84% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 2.97% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.48% (+0.15)
4-1 @ 1.31% (+0.09)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-96.09)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 38.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.21)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.47)
2-2 @ 5.45% (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-97.14)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.04%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 9.07% (-0.40)
1-2 @ 7.99% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.86% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.44% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 2.52% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (+0.13)
1-4 @ 1.11% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.28%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2022 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Daniel Vivian 12' yellowcard
  • Alex Berenguer 42' goal
  • Iker Muniain 68' yellowcard
  • Unai Simon 79' yellowcard
  • Yuri Berchiche 86' yellowcard
  • Yeray Alvarez 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yunus Musah 23'
  • yellowcard Mouctar Diakhaby 74'
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 7, 2022 3.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yeray Alvarez 8' yellowcard
  • Inaki Williams 77' yellowcard
  • Oscar de Marcos 90' yellowcard
  • Unai Simon 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mouctar Diakhaby 26'
  • yellowcard Ilaix Moriba 53'
  • yellowcard Hugo Guillamon 72'
  • redcard Hugo Guillamon 90'+8'
Copa del Rey
Mar 2, 2022 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Gabriel Paulista 26' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Guedes 43' goal
  • Omar Alderete 73' yellowcard
  • Mouctar Diakhaby 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Inigo Martinez 60'
  • yellowcard Oier Zarraga 90'+5'
Copa del Rey
Feb 10, 2022 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Raul Garcia 37' goal
  • Dani Garcia 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dimitri Foulquier 43'
  • redcard Maxi Gomez 45'+1'
  • goal Hugo Duro 65'
  • yellowcard Mouctar Diakhaby 80'
  • yellowcard Hugo Duro 90'
La Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 25, 2021 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hugo Guillamon 47' yellowcard
  • Maxi Gomez 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Maxi Gomez 82' redcard
  • Jason 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Maranhao 90'+5' goal
  • Manu Vallejo 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dani Garcia 49'
  • goal Inigo Martinez 69'
  • yellowcard Alex Berenguer 78'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 7, 2021 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Hugo Guillamon 43' goal
  • Alex Berenguer 51' yellowcard
  • Inigo Martinez 74' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel Paulista 66'
  • yellowcard Carlos Soler 79'