Copa del Rey
Jan 18, 2023 6.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Municipal El Molinón
  • goal Edinson Cavani 10'
  • goal Justin Kluivert 21'
  • goal Edinson Cavani 39'
  • goal Samuel Lino 64'

Sporting Gijon vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Gijon

All competitions

Valencia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result

Sporting Gijon 35.47% (+0.71)
Draw 26.93% (-0.20)
Valencia 37.6% (-0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.1% (+0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.88% (+0.84)
Under 2.5 54.12% (-0.84)
Over 3.5 24.46% (+0.70)
Under 3.5 75.54% (-0.70)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5 70.85% (+0.85)
Under 0.5 29.15% (-0.86)
Over 1.5 34.91% (+1.04)
Under 1.5 65.08% (-1.04)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 72.12% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 27.87% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 36.52% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 63.48% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Sporting Gijon 35.46%
Draw 26.93%
Valencia 37.59%
Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.89% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 6.17% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.24% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 2.54% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.07% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 35.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.79% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.27)
2-2 @ 5.04% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.93%
Valencia
0-1 @ 10.37% (-0.33)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.18)
1-3 @ 3.48%
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.15% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 37.59%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Jan 15, 2019 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)
  • Daniel Wass 21' yellowcard
  • Mouctar Diakhaby 41' yellowcard
  • Francis Coquelin 42' yellowcard
  • Santi Mina 66' goal
  • Santi Mina 76' goal
  • Ferran Torres 89' goal
  • yellowcard Nick Blackman 18'
  • yellowcard Javi Noblejas 51'
  • yellowcard Uros Durdevic 78'
Copa del Rey
Jan 8, 2019 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal El Molinón (Gijón)
  • Alvaro Jimenez 32' yellowcard
  • Javi Noblejas 34' goal
  • Nick Blackman 79' goal
  • yellowcard Ruben Vezo 36'
  • goal Dani Parejo 45'
La Liga
Mar 11, 2017 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fabian Orellana 2' yellowcard
  • Simone Zaza 19' yellowcard
  • Eliaquim Mangala 50' yellowcard
  • Munir El Haddadi 85' goal
  • yellowcard Nacho Cases 29'
  • yellowcard Douglas Pereira 49'
  • goal Duje Cop 60'
  • yellowcard Duje Cop 76'
  • yellowcard Ivan Cuellar 79'
  • yellowcard Xavi Torres 91'
La Liga
Oct 16, 2016 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Rachid Ait-Atmane 23' yellowcard
  • Carlos Castro 41' goal
  • Duje Cop 45' yellowcard
  • Jorge Mere 64' yellowcard
  • Burgui 76' yellowcard
  • Fernando Amorebieta 90' yellowcard
  • goal Mario Suarez 7'
  • goal Mario Suarez 65'
  • yellowcard Zakaria Bakkali 80'
La Liga
Jan 31, 2016 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Antonio Sanabria 50'
  • yellowcard Luis Hernandez 59'
  • yellowcard Ognjen Vranjes 70'
La Liga
Sep 12, 2015 5.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Omar Mascarell 45' yellowcard
  • Isma Lopez 64' yellowcard
  • Pablo Perez 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dani Parejo 30'
  • yellowcard Enzo Perez 41'
  • yellowcard Javi Fuego 81'
  • goal Paco Alcacer 91'