Copa del Rey | Round of 16

Jan 18, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal El Molinón

Sporting Gijon
0 - 4
Valencia

FT(HT: 0-3)

Cavani (10', 39'), Kluivert (21'), Lino (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Sporting Gijon and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Gijon

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Racing 2-0 Sporting Gijon
Saturday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Valencia (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, January 11 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
Sporting Gijon	Draw	Valencia
35.47% ( 0.7)	26.93% ( -0.2)	37.6% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 51.1% (

0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.88% (

0.83)

54.12% (

-0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.46% (

0.69)

75.54% (

-0.69)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.85% (

0.85)

29.15% (

-0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.91% (

1.03)

65.08% (

-1.04)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.12% (

0.1)

27.87% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.52% (

0.13)

63.48% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Sporting Gijon 35.46%

Valencia 37.59%

Draw 26.93%

Sporting Gijon	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.46%	1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.93%	0-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 37.59%