Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 34.2%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 32.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.81%) and 2-1 (6.35%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (14.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Santander would win this match.