Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 47.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.