Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 49.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 1-0 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.

Result
Villarreal II	Draw	Las Palmas
23.4% ( -0.94)	27.52% ( 0.02)	49.08% ( 0.91)

Both teams to score 43.27% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.92% (

-0.71)

61.07% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.95% (

-0.54)

81.05% (

0.54)

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.76% (

-1.31)

42.24% (

1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.36% (

-1.15)

78.64% (

1.15)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.91% (

0.12)

25.09% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.22% (

0.16)

59.78% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Villarreal II 23.4%

Las Palmas 49.07%

Draw 27.51%

Villarreal II	Draw	Las Palmas
1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.11% Total : 23.4%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.51%	0-1 @ 14.65% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 10.13% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 49.07%