Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 48.06%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.