Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Villarreal II
51.54% ( -0.56)	26.41% ( -0.04)	22.05% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 44.72% (

0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.55% (

0.65)

58.45% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.96% (

0.51)

79.04% (

-0.51)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.19% (

0.03)

22.81% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.47% (

0.05)

56.53% (

-0.05)

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.93% (

0.99)

42.07% (

-0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.51% (

0.85)

78.49% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Alaves 51.53%

Villarreal II 22.05%

Draw 26.41%

Alaves	Draw	Villarreal II
1-0 @ 14.18% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 51.53%	1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.12% Total : 22.05%